Is world war 3 - knocking at the door ?

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As per latest news China has allocated US $ 178.6 billion making a 6.6 percent increase from the 2019 budget of US$ 1.77.5 in 2019.

This move of China triggers a question that amid COVID-19 epidemic, when whole world is under sever threat, world economy is under pressure and when China’s economy itself is not doing very well, how come China can allocate such a huge amount to its defense budget.

After not getting the desired results in terms of economic boost, what China was expecting, is China going to play its last card of traditional war?
China sharing borders 14 countries and maritime borders with another 7 countries and have border issues with countries like Japan, India and Vietnam.
With this increased budget, that too when world experts, seriously doubt about the true numbers reviled by China about its defense expenditures, is China, planning to set the ball rolling for WW3?

The chances of a full scale war or a conflict with India can be ruled out outright.
Now the question is why, why will China will do so?

As shared earlier, China never got the desired outcome (https://sanjaysisodia.blogspot.com/2020/05/do-we-need-fire-line-against-china.html), in one way or other China, invested in its efforts of creating market for its products and gaining the status of super power, but it never happened the way China wanted it to happen.

Few points worth noting:
If we look at recent state of affairs along the LAC (Line of Actual Control) between India and China i.e. military standoffs on 5th and 8th of May’2020, near Pangong Lake and Sikkim, respectively.

Development of infrastructure in boarder areas by China.   

In post COVID-19 or rather amid COVID-19 epidemic scenario, companies pulling out of china and setting up manufacturing units in India.

China eyeing the position of world super power by displacing USA.

U.S. looks to India to play a more active role in balancing China’s growing power and influence and helping India in multiple ways – worth noting (COMCASA) - Communications Compatibility and Security Agreement signed between India and US in 2018 – which facilitates the exchange of encrypted communications and equipment between the two militaries.

We all know in today’s world economic interest are way more above than rest of the driving factors.

China not getting desired results from its COVID-19 misadventure.

US-India ties another road block in the path of China becoming new world super power.


US being 11,640 KMs away from China, the distance may pose some challenges to China, if it tries to engage in traditional military engagement with US.

As the saying goes enemy of enemy is friend, same ways friend of enemy is also an enemy.

Will India come in firing line of dragon?

Though I don’t have a definite answer to this question at this juncture and the vast market that India offers to any country and its military might topped up with nuclear warheads can provide some shield.

At this juncture the way dragon is reacting and pushing its agenda, what I can foresee is an armed conflict between India and China, if not a full scale war.

To make the things tougher for India, some measures employed by China:

a) Recent standoff between the armies of both the countries
b) Pilling up of troops at border post on boarders shared with India
c) Increase in defense budget
d) Engaging Nepal’s communist government in enlarging the battle field. (Engaging India at as many fronts as possible, The entire Sino-Indian border (including the western LAC, the small undisputed section in the center, and the MacMahon Line in the east) is 4,056 km (2,520 mi) long and traverses one Indian union territory - Ladakh and four Indian states: Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh. Plus The India–Nepal Border, is an open international border running between India and Nepal. The 1,690 km (1,050.12 mi) long border includes the Himalayan territories as well as Indo-Gangetic Plain. We all know how the communist government of Nepal is behaving) 
e) Status of western front is not a mystery for any one of us
f)  COVID-19 adding further fuel to the fire

China will be very aggressive now because of:

a) Losing its ground in economical arena of US & rest of the world
b) Not getting the desired market in India & rest of the world for its COVID-19 related supplies
c) Pressure from world community to get its role in spread of COVID-19 epidemic
d) India and US becoming close allies
e) India gaining a leading roles at world forum

Let’s hope my all my fears prove to be wrong……keep praying and be safe, one and all.

 I will wrap up this blog with a question for you, what do you think, will India - China engage in military conflict or it will melt down?

 Please share your thoughts, looking forward to hear form you. 

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