Are we really safe?

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Danik Jagran, Agra Wednesday - 20th of May'2020, front page news - pace of Corona spread is slow in India. Though India has became 11th country to cross 100 thousand mark of confirmed COVIT-19 cases on 18th of May'2020, but to cross this number, India took more time as compared to any other country.

Till now in total (at world level) 320 thousand people died due to Corona virus, which comes to 4.1 person per 100 thousand people, where as in India alone 3,163 lives perished and the average comes out to 0.2 person per 100 thousand.

Percentage of death among the infected cases in India stands at 3.1 % vs 6.8% at global level.

As per Health Ministry - Government Of India (GOI) - number of deaths per 100 thousand (population wise) is 26.6 in US, 52.1 in Britain, 52.8 in Italy, for France its 41.9, where as in Spain 59.2 and for Belgium it is 79.3.

As per government sources quick identification of infected people and better treatment enabled India to restrict the outbreak at 0.2%.

More over recovery percentage of infected getting treated is 93% against 85% of world average.

In India 38.73% patients recovered out of total infected cases.

India ranks 6th in world in terms of testing conducted. So far India has conducted 2.4 million test, so far. Number of positive cases in proportion to test conducted is very low as compared to rest of the world, only one positive case out of every 25 test conducted. 

The above facts and figures are very encouraging and presents a very promising picture of future, we can feel safe & should be happy about the current situation and should be hopeful about times to come.

But wait.......

Before we jump the gun and reach on to a conclusion there are few facts and points that we should think about  before taking a breath of relief, keeping in view the fact that India took only 12 days to reach 100,328 form 52,987:

1. Is 2.4 million test enough, when the total population is more than 1.3 billion? 

2. Are the numbers of infected / death reported are correct?

3. With lock-down 4.0 kicking in, where in most of the activities are opening up, will this epidemic not spread far & wide?

At this juncture our only saviors are prayers and precautions.  

Comments

  1. UnknownMay 21, 2020 at 6:11 AM

    Very thoughtful

    ReplyDelete
  2. UnknownMay 21, 2020 at 6:20 AM

    Nice blog.But the real challenge has been begun when the theory of Charles Darwin "The survival of the fittest" has been proving.Not only we have to survive but also we have have save our economy.Now we have live with Covid19 challenges.We are safe untill we are improving & inhancing our immunity and maintain social distancing and also following the rules of some daily hygienic habits.

    ReplyDelete

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